Caravaca vs Deportivo Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+152%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
13
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 36 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PUL
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AFC
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 0
DPM
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DPM
0 - 1
CAR
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
DPM
1 - 2
MSM
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CIE
4 - 0
DPM
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
DPM
2 - 3
BUL
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |