Caravaca vs At. Pulpileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
PLU
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
YEC
10%
18%
73%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
8 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 5
EGP
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
YEC
2 - 1
PUL
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 1
MAR
18%
23%
60%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
EGP
0 - 1
PUL
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 2
MIN
31%
26%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |