Caravaca vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
3 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CLU
0 - 1
CAR
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
MME
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 1
MSM
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
CEU
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 0
BAL
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CEU
2 - 0
EFA
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BAL
3 - 1
CEU
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |