Caravaca vs Aguilas FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
38
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
IMP
47%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aguilas FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
MIN
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 1
AFC
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
EGP
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 4
AFC
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 0
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |