Carapinheirense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
ADN
47%
23%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 2
ADM
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
PAM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 2
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |