Carapinheirense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
ADN
47%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 4
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 5
BEN
26%
25%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 3
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |