Carapinheirense vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
SER
32%
26%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
PIN
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -4 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAR
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BMA
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |