Carapinheirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
20%
23%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAF
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 7
MAF
16%
25%
59%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
9 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |