Carapinheirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
SER
18%
24%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +5 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
TOU
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 1
NAV
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SOU
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
NAV
11%
18%
72%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |