Carapinheirense vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
OLE
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
15%
22%
63%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 5
OPE
10%
19%
71%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 3
IDE
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 7
BEN
10%
22%
67%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
5 - 3
ANM
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |