Carapinheirense vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLE
3 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
32%
23%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 2
CAR
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
UDL
3 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 4
UDL
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |