Carapinheirense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAM
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | +3 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
ADM
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 2
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
4 - 1
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |