Carapinheirense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 3
ADM
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 2
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PAM
0 - 1
ADN
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 3
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
ADN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
ADM
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |