Carapebus EC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 0
CEC
67%
20%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 1
OLA
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
0 - 0
CEC
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CGA
13%
16%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CIG
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 0
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |