Carapebus EC vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
2 - 0
CEC
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
0 - 2
BON
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEC
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
1 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 4
CEC
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAG
45%
23%
33%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
CGA
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |