Carapebus EC vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
CEC
31%
22%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CIG
2 - 2
CEC
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CEC
8 - 0
MES
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CEC
4 - 2
CIG
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 0
CGA
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 3
ADC
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ADC
1 - 3
MAG
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
6 - 0
ADC
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 1
ADC
22%
20%
57%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |