Riga FC vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |