Riga FC vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
VEN
0 - 2
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
RIG
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
FSM
0 - 3
CAR
7%
18%
74%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
CAR
5 - 2
FKT
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
MTA
2 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIN
29%
24%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TFI
6 - 3
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
TFI
58%
21%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |