Riga FC vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
2º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 4
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 4
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
GRO
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |