Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
2º
22
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 70 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
15% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
84.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
RIG
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
GRO
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |