Riga FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
RIG
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 3
CAR
13%
24%
64%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 2
CAR
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
FSM
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
LIE
14%
22%
64%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKT
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |