Riga FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
6º
2º
21
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 88 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 79 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 70 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 34 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 6
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |