Riga FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 6
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |