Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
JGV
1 - 3
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
CAR
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 3
FKT
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |