Riga FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
2º
44
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
95.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 6
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 0
FSM
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 3
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
AUD
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |