Riga FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
2º
44
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
95.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 3
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
NSO
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
FKT
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |