Carajas U20 vs São Paulo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carajas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
CAR
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 1
PVI
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAO
56%
21%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |