Caracas vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 2
MAL
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 3
CFC
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
TAC
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 0
ANZ
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZUL
2 - 0
CFC
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 3
MAL
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
3 - 1
ZAM
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |