Caracas vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
CFC
16%
28%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
CFC
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
ARA
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
TUC
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
5 - 0
URE
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
URE
0 - 1
TRU
26%
26%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
4 - 1
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
URE
0 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |