Caracas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2022 |
ATP
5 - 1
CFC
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 0
CFC
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
STR
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MIN
67%
20%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
CFC
27%
27%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 0
LAR
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
UCV
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 2
APC
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 2
MIN
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
UCV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |