Caracas vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
YAR
3 - 3
CFC
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
CFC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 0
LLA
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 1
ZUL
27%
23%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
TUC
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TUC
3 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |