Caracas vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 1
YAR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CFC
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIN
3 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
TRU
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 1
YAR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TRU
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |