Caracas vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
UNI
4 - 1
CFC
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
SPC
0 - 1
CFC
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
MIN
1 - 0
CFC
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
SPC
6 - 2
MIN
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
SPC
0 - 1
CFC
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
UNI
3 - 1
SPC
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1992 |
CRI
3 - 2
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |