Caracas vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
MIN
4 - 2
CFC
16%
22%
61%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
SPC
6 - 3
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
2 - 2
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
0 - 6
CCP
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
3 - 2
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
MIN
2 - 2
SLO
6%
16%
78%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 0
SLO
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 1
RIV
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
SLO
3 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SLO
2 - 2
CEN
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |