Caracas vs Real Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
22%
24%
53%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
CFC
2 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
CFC
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CFC
4 - 2
CDS
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
STR
5 - 0
RPO
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CRZ
3 - 0
RPO
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
RPO
2 - 4
JWI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
RPO
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
RPO
2 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |