Caracas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MET
3 - 0
CFC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
CFC
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
ZUL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
POR
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
MIN
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
APC
1 - 1
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |