Copa Venezuela 1/16
Global 6-1
Caracas vs Petroleros de Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 3
CFC
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 0
ZAM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Petroleros de Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PDA
0 - 2
MIN
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 3
CFC
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
PDA
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PDA
4 - 0
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 0
DIA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |