Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 5
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 3
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
TAC
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |