Apertura Venezuela Final
Global 2-2
Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 0
CFC
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 0
ANZ
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
ZAM
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |