Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
CFC
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 5
CFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
TUC
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
ZAM
29%
24%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MON
6 - 1
LLA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 1
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TAC
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
DIA
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |