Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 4
CFC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 1
ANZ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ZUL
4 - 2
CFC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
CFC
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
3 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
ANZ
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZUL
1 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |