Caracas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
7º
6º
3
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 22 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 21 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 20 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 19 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 17 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 16 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 16 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 16 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 15 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
14º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
68.5% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DRZ
1 - 1
CFC
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 3
CFC
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAM
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CFC
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
MET
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
DRZ
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MET
0 - 1
ZAM
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
MET
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |