Caracas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
CFC
27%
31%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 1
APC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 0
CFC
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 0
CFC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
MET
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 2
MET
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |