Caracas vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CFC
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
MIR
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
CFC
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
ANZ
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 1
CFC
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LLA
5 - 0
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
LLA
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 0
LAR
17%
23%
61%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 3
TRU
18%
24%
59%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |