Caracas vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
RIV
2 - 0
CFC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
SLO
5 - 1
CFC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 4
RIV
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 1
SLO
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
ZUL
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
DCU
2 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
CHI
2 - 3
CAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 0
CSC
67%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
CHI
2 - 1
AME
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -2 |