Caracas vs Gran Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 3
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 1
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 1
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 1
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
0 - 0
GVA
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
2 - 1
MON
13%
25%
63%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GVA
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
1 - 1
MET
19%
27%
54%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |