Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CFC
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
DRZ
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
CFC
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
MIR
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
APC
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |