Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ANZ
0 - 0
CFC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TAC
3 - 2
CFC
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
YAR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 1
CFC
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TUC
3 - 1
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |