Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
CFC
16%
28%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
CFC
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
ARA
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
29%
31%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TUC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
LAR
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
TRU
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |