Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
CFC
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
ARA
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ZUL
0 - 3
CFC
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
CFC
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 4
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 3
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
5 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
TRU
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |