Caracas vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 2
CFC
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
0 - 3
CFC
7%
17%
76%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 5
ZUL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 2
ESC
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ESC
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
ESC
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |